Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.3% vs 56.6%). Staal wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Stastny 55.4% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 57.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 64.5%
Neutral zone
Stastny 52.5%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Staal
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Staal
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
59.2% (370)
-0.3%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
40.9% (44)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
51.7% (58)
-2.6%
On power play, Staal has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Staal shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Staal
Stastny
Home
59.0% (578)
57.7% (215)
Away
55.9% (707)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Staal
Stastny
P1
57.1%
57.7%
P2
60.9%
54.2%
P3
55.8%
57.7%
OT
20.8%
60.0%
Final 5 min
60.5%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 18:42 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 18:07 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 19:14 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |