Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 58.4% vs Stastny 55.4% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 67.9%
Defensive zone
Stastny 65.9%
Neutral zone
Stastny 67.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Staal
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Staal
Stastny
Last 7: Staal 0-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Staal
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
4
Staal
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Staal
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (888)
55.4% (1,004)
+3.7%
Power Play
66.9% (121)
59.0% (210)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (156)
54.1% (196)
-1.5%
On power play, Staal has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Staal is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (735).
Staal shoots left. Stastny is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Staal
Stastny
Home
61.2% (600)
56.5% (717)
Away
56.9% (566)
55.0% (693)
By Period
Staal
Stastny
P1
57.5%
56.7%
P2
60.1%
57.7%
P3
59.1%
52.1%
OT
70.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
59.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
59.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2017 | 3 | 18:41 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 3 | 15:38 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 3 | 08:32 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 2 | 05:51 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 1 | 13:50 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 1 | 10:50 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |