Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.1% vs Stastny 54.6% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 55.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 65.4%
Neutral zone
Stastny 57.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Staal
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Staal
Stastny
Last 7: Staal 5-2 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
2
Staal
Stastny
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,016)
54.8% (1,130)
+1.1%
Power Play
68.0% (150)
59.1% (235)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (172)
49.3% (150)
+1.3%
On power play, Staal has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Staal is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (882).
Staal shoots left. Stastny is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (947).
Home / Away
Staal
Stastny
Home
57.2% (684)
55.5% (803)
Away
56.0% (654)
54.2% (712)
By Period
Staal
Stastny
P1
53.0%
57.4%
P2
58.2%
52.5%
P3
58.9%
54.3%
OT
50.0%
69.6%
Final 5 min
57.9%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.6%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2017 | 3 | 19:47 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 3 | 18:48 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 2 | 13:58 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 2 | 05:50 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 2 | 05:50 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |