Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.9% vs 55.3%). Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Danault 54.8% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 52.3%
Defensive zone
Danault 55.0%
Neutral zone
Danault 56.1%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Staal
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Staal
Danault
Last 6: Staal 4-2 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Danault
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
2
Staal
Danault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
56.5% (711)
-0.4%
Power Play
66.9% (142)
46.0% (50)
+20.9%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (242)
51.7% (116)
-8.7%
On power play, Staal has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Staal shoots left. Danault is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Staal
Danault
Home
55.4% (663)
57.0% (379)
Away
54.4% (676)
54.0% (498)
By Period
Staal
Danault
P1
55.1%
55.8%
P2
54.7%
55.3%
P3
53.9%
54.8%
OT
70.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
57.2%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 03:41 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 00:45 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 09:58 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 07:21 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 01:42 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |