Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Danault 54.0% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 53.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 54.4%
Neutral zone
Danault 52.1%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Staal
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Staal
Danault
Last 7: Staal 4-3 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
3
Staal
Danault
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Danault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
55.1% (953)
+1.2%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
64.6% (144)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
42.0% (176)
+10.1%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Staal shoots left. Danault is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Staal
Danault
Home
58.3% (705)
55.4% (641)
Away
53.3% (769)
53.3% (632)
By Period
Staal
Danault
P1
54.5%
61.0%
P2
58.2%
52.3%
P3
54.1%
51.3%
OT
60.0%
35.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2023 | OT | 00:47 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 3 | 04:57 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 19:56 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 14:20 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 11:13 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 11:07 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 09:00 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |