Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Staal wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Danault 51.7% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Danault 61.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 50.8%
Neutral zone
Danault 57.1%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Staal
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Staal
Danault
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
5
Staal
Danault
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Danault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
3
Staal
Danault
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
52.6% (895)
+6.3%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
55.7% (97)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
45.5% (165)
+6.3%
On power play, Staal has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Staal shoots left. Danault is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (787).
Home / Away
Staal
Danault
Home
57.0% (646)
54.0% (581)
Away
59.1% (729)
49.7% (576)
By Period
Staal
Danault
P1
55.9%
53.7%
P2
55.4%
55.3%
P3
62.0%
46.5%
OT
70.4%
46.2%
Final 5 min
63.1%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 18:14 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 19:16 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 19:05 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 11:24 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 08:42 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 03:08 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 16:47 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 13:41 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 06:56 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 06:41 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |