Jordan Staal vs Ryan Carpenter

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jordan Staal holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Staal wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Staal 55.3% vs Carpenter 48.5% (+6.9%)
H2H factor Staal leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone Staal 77.6%
Defensive zone Staal 53.2%
Neutral zone Staal 59.6%
Result Jordan Staal favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Staal Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
7 - 5 (12 meetings)
7
5
Staal Carpenter
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Carpenter

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
1
Staal Carpenter
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
1
2
Staal Carpenter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
1
2
Staal Carpenter
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Staal
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
49.6% (2,027)
+6.3%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
41.5% (41)
+21.2%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
43.9% (467)
+4.1%
On power play, Staal has a +21.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Staal shoots left. Carpenter is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,840).
Home / Away
Staal
Carpenter
Home
56.4% (9,663)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Staal
Carpenter
P1
55.2%
49.6%
P2
55.9%
47.7%
P3
54.9%
48.0%
OT
56.2%
55.6%
Final 5 min
56.1%
49.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%
51.0%
55.3%
Carpenter
48.0%
47.0%
48.4%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Oct 27, 2023 1 14:52 Offensive Jordan Staal
Apr 1, 2021 3 15:06 Neutral Ryan Carpenter
Apr 1, 2021 3 06:26 Defensive Ryan Carpenter
Mar 30, 2021 3 17:40 Offensive Jordan Staal
Mar 30, 2021 3 17:32 Offensive Jordan Staal
Mar 30, 2021 3 14:44 Defensive Jordan Staal
Mar 30, 2021 3 10:20 Defensive Ryan Carpenter
Mar 30, 2021 3 05:36 Offensive Jordan Staal
Feb 19, 2021 2 10:13 Offensive Ryan Carpenter
Nov 3, 2018 3 07:03 Neutral Jordan Staal
Nov 3, 2018 2 04:02 Offensive Jordan Staal
Nov 3, 2018 1 00:00 Neutral Ryan Carpenter