Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Carpenter 51.2% (+5.8%)
Offensive zone
Staal 71.8%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 74.6%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 59.4%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Staal
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
53.2% (299)
+5.7%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
33.3% (3)
+20.1%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
46.5% (86)
+2.6%
On power play, Staal has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Staal is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Staal shoots left. Carpenter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Staal
Carpenter
Home
59.0% (578)
54.6% (207)
Away
55.9% (707)
48.1% (181)
By Period
Staal
Carpenter
P1
57.1%
52.3%
P2
60.9%
51.5%
P3
55.8%
50.8%
Final 5 min
60.5%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%