Jordan Staal vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 82.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 76.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Staal
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Staal
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
51.0% (408)
+7.9%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
0.0% (6)
+68.4%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
35.9% (78)
+15.9%
On power play, Staal has a +68.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Staal shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
Staal
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
57.0% (646)
50.8% (258)
Away
59.1% (729)
44.9% (234)
By Period
Staal
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
55.9%
51.6%
P2
55.4%
45.2%
P3
62.0%
47.6%
OT
70.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2023 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 18:24 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |