Jordan Staal vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (+6.8%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 62.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 64.4%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.1%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Staal
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
47.6% (231)
+8.5%
Power Play
66.9% (142)
83.3% (12)
-16.4%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (242)
33.3% (21)
+9.7%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Staal shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Staal
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
55.4% (663)
51.2% (164)
Away
54.4% (676)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Staal
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
55.1%
50.0%
P2
54.7%
46.2%
P3
53.9%
49.5%
OT
70.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.2%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%