Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 59.0% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.1% vs Oshie 48.6% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 66.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 83.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 67.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Staal
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Staal
Oshie
Last 5: Staal 3-2 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
2
Staal
Oshie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Oshie
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Oshie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,016)
43.1% (58)
+12.8%
Power Play
68.0% (150)
50.3% (143)
+17.7%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (172)
40.0% (10)
+10.6%
On power play, Staal has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Staal is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Staal shoots left. Oshie is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Staal
Oshie
Home
57.2% (684)
51.8% (110)
Away
56.0% (654)
43.6% (101)
By Period
Staal
Oshie
P1
53.0%
47.7%
P2
58.2%
46.5%
P3
58.9%
47.8%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.9%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.6%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2018 | 2 | 19:49 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 30, 2018 | 1 | 19:06 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 3 | 12:34 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 07:19 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |