Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Oshie 45.4% (+14.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 78.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 87.7%
Neutral zone
Oshie 55.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Staal
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Staal
Oshie
Last 8: Staal 4-4 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
4
Staal
Oshie
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
0
Staal
Oshie
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
57.7% (26)
+1.2%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
41.3% (138)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
0.0% (5)
+49.1%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +49.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Staal is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Staal shoots left. Oshie is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Staal
Oshie
Home
59.0% (578)
41.0% (78)
Away
55.9% (707)
44.0% (91)
By Period
Staal
Oshie
P1
57.1%
42.6%
P2
60.9%
41.9%
P3
55.8%
41.8%
OT
20.8%
60.0%
Final 5 min
60.5%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 04:41 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 1 | 13:51 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 16:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 13:42 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 01:09 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 17:36 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 16:55 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 06:51 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |