Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 14 meetings). Staal wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Oshie 46.4% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 17-10 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Oshie 58.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 97.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 91.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 74.1%
74.1%
25.9%
Staal
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
10
(27 meetings)
17
10
Staal
Oshie
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
1
10
Staal
Oshie
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
14
0
Staal
Oshie
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Oshie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
45.2% (764)
+10.7%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
47.7% (1,221)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
40.2% (164)
+7.8%
On power play, Staal has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Staal shoots left. Oshie is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,672).
Home / Away
Staal
Oshie
Home
56.4% (9,663)
48.7% (1,103)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
43.7% (1,047)
By Period
Staal
Oshie
P1
55.2%
47.3%
P2
55.9%
45.2%
P3
54.9%
46.7%
OT
56.2%
40.8%
Final 5 min
56.1%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 19:12 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 18:45 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 04:41 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 1 | 13:51 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 16:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 13:42 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 01:09 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 17:36 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 16:55 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 06:51 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 3 | 07:11 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 3, 2020 | 2 | 13:43 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 3, 2020 | 2 | 04:17 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 17:29 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 19:22 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 08:38 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 2 | 08:57 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 30, 2018 | 2 | 19:49 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |