Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 65.0% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.1% vs Oshie 50.0% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 66.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 93.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 76.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Staal
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Staal
Oshie
Last 8: Staal 6-2 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
1
2
Staal
Oshie
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
0
Staal
Oshie
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Oshie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (943)
51.7% (58)
+2.5%
Power Play
69.6% (79)
49.1% (169)
+20.5%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (262)
54.5% (11)
-3.7%
On power play, Staal has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Staal is 65.0% vs right-shot opponents (452).
Staal shoots left. Oshie is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Staal
Oshie
Home
55.0% (593)
51.3% (113)
Away
54.0% (691)
48.8% (125)
By Period
Staal
Oshie
P1
54.3%
53.8%
P2
53.5%
47.5%
P3
55.2%
51.2%
OT
58.6%
28.6%
Final 5 min
55.4%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.4%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2020 | 3 | 07:11 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 3, 2020 | 2 | 13:43 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 3, 2020 | 2 | 04:17 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 17:29 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 19:22 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 08:38 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |