Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Nosek 51.4% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 60.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 63.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 64.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Staal
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Staal
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Staal
Nosek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
53.0% (400)
+4.0%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
33.3% (12)
+24.4%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
45.5% (44)
-0.4%
On power play, Staal has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Staal shoots left. Nosek is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Staal
Nosek
Home
54.3% (667)
49.6% (244)
Away
54.7% (662)
54.2% (212)
By Period
Staal
Nosek
P1
56.2%
53.1%
P2
57.0%
51.4%
P3
49.7%
51.1%
Final 5 min
48.8%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.5%
Nosek
56.0%▬
55.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 13:57 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 09:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 02:05 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |