Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Nosek 53.9% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 57.5%
Defensive zone
Nosek 53.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 53.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Staal
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Staal
Nosek
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
2
Staal
Nosek
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Staal
Nosek
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Nosek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (14,405)
55.0% (2,608)
+1.0%
Power Play
62.6% (1,691)
43.5% (46)
+19.1%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (2,841)
48.6% (397)
-0.5%
On power play, Staal has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Staal is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (12,525).
Staal shoots left. Nosek is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,880).
Home / Away
Staal
Nosek
Home
56.4% (9,518)
52.9% (1,606)
Away
54.4% (9,484)
55.3% (1,445)
By Period
Staal
Nosek
P1
55.1%
52.5%
P2
56.0%
54.7%
P3
55.0%
54.6%
OT
55.6%
75.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.4%
Nosek
56.0%▬
55.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 13:57 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 09:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 02:05 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 11:07 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 17:01 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 10:27 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 09:41 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 06:01 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 19:22 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 05:14 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |