Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +18.0% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Frederic 45.0% (+18.0%)
Offensive zone
Staal 50.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 56.1%
Neutral zone
Frederic 52.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Staal
Frederic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
39.8% (88)
+19.1%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
0.0% (1)
+49.1%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +49.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Staal shoots left. Frederic is 35.6% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Staal
Frederic
Home
59.0% (578)
37.8% (45)
Away
55.9% (707)
40.9% (44)
By Period
Staal
Frederic
P1
57.1%
32.4%
P2
60.9%
45.9%
P3
55.8%
38.9%
Final 5 min
60.5%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
39.3%