Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Frederic 45.7% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frederic 53.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 78.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 65.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Staal
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Staal
Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Frederic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
42.6% (195)
+14.4%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
64.3% (14)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
25.0% (4)
+20.1%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Staal shoots left. Frederic is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Staal
Frederic
Home
54.3% (667)
48.6% (107)
Away
54.7% (662)
38.7% (106)
By Period
Staal
Frederic
P1
56.2%
37.5%
P2
57.0%
44.8%
P3
49.7%
49.3%
Final 5 min
48.8%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 01:29 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |