Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 65.3% vs right-shot opponents — Dellandrea shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Dellandrea 51.9% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 68.4%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 66.8%
Neutral zone
Dellandrea 53.8%
Result
Ty Dellandrea favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Staal
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Staal
Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Dellandrea
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
0
1
Staal
Dellandrea
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Dellandrea
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
54.1% (355)
+2.0%
Power Play
66.9% (142)
53.8% (13)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (242)
47.6% (143)
-4.6%
On power play, Staal has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Staal is 65.3% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Staal shoots left. Dellandrea is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Staal
Dellandrea
Home
55.4% (663)
54.3% (278)
Away
54.4% (676)
49.8% (233)
By Period
Staal
Dellandrea
P1
55.1%
54.2%
P2
54.7%
50.6%
P3
53.9%
51.8%
OT
70.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 18:18 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 19:15 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |