Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Staal wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Dellandrea shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Dellandrea 49.2% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 82.6%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 53.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 67.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Staal
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Staal
Dellandrea
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
1
Staal
Dellandrea
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
1
3
Staal
Dellandrea
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Dellandrea
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
50.5% (1,108)
+5.4%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
59.4% (32)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
43.4% (318)
+4.6%
On even strength, Staal has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Staal shoots left. Dellandrea is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,147).
Home / Away
Staal
Dellandrea
Home
56.4% (9,663)
49.4% (741)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
49.0% (717)
By Period
Staal
Dellandrea
P1
55.2%
49.7%
P2
55.9%
48.6%
P3
54.9%
49.4%
OT
56.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.1%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 18:18 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 19:15 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 03:58 | Offensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 2 | 08:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 1 | 02:09 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 1 | 11:36 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 1 | 11:31 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 2 | 13:55 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 00:48 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |