Scouting Report
Josh Bailey holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 49.7% vs Kadri 45.6% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 59.8%
Defensive zone
Bailey 77.2%
Neutral zone
Bailey 50.7%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Bailey
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Bailey
Kadri
Last 7: Bailey 5-2 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
2
0
Bailey
Kadri
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
1
0
Bailey
Kadri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Bailey
Kadri
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (170)
44.1% (957)
+4.7%
Power Play
56.4% (39)
51.9% (162)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
50.0% (8)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Bailey is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (141).
Bailey shoots left. Kadri is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Home / Away
Bailey
Kadri
Home
51.3% (156)
47.0% (555)
Away
45.8% (72)
43.5% (572)
By Period
Bailey
Kadri
P1
50.0%
47.5%
P2
45.6%
45.1%
P3
52.9%
44.2%
OT
33.3%
28.6%
Final 5 min
48.0%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
49.6%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2014 | 3 | 18:35 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 2 | 15:38 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 2 | 08:58 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 1 | 06:53 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 1 | 03:25 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |