Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 44.3% vs Kadri 49.7% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 62.3%
Defensive zone
Kadri 80.1%
Neutral zone
Kadri 74.1%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Bailey
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Bailey
Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
2
0
Bailey
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (83)
50.2% (849)
-10.4%
Power Play
27.3% (22)
50.6% (235)
-23.3%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
43.0% (93)
+37.0%
On penalty kill, Bailey has a +37.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Bailey is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (60).
Bailey shoots left. Kadri is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Bailey
Kadri
Home
33.3% (48)
48.5% (557)
Away
43.5% (62)
50.8% (620)
By Period
Bailey
Kadri
P1
33.3%
49.5%
P2
47.2%
51.3%
P3
39.4%
47.8%
OT
0.0%
63.2%
Final 5 min
38.1%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
39.1%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2022 | 2 | 18:35 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |