Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bailey on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Bailey wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.5% vs Kadri 48.7% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Bailey leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 78.1%
Defensive zone
Kadri 66.7%
Neutral zone
Kadri 78.1%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 75.5%
24.5%
75.5%
Bailey
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
3
(13 meetings)
10
3
Bailey
Kadri
Last 10: Bailey 8-2 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
6
0
Bailey
Kadri
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
2
1
Bailey
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Bailey
Kadri
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,991)
48.2% (12,510)
-2.4%
Power Play
48.1% (295)
53.0% (1,892)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (281)
41.0% (293)
-1.1%
On power play, Kadri has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Bailey is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,590).
Bailey shoots left. Kadri is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,379).
Home / Away
Bailey
Kadri
Home
46.6% (1,353)
49.1% (7,467)
Away
44.0% (1,232)
48.1% (7,231)
By Period
Bailey
Kadri
P1
46.5%
49.2%
P2
44.8%
48.8%
P3
44.4%
48.0%
OT
51.1%
49.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2022 | 2 | 18:35 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 2 | 08:00 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 02:48 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 9, 2016 | OT | 02:50 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 3 | 18:35 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 2 | 15:38 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 2 | 08:58 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 1 | 06:53 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 1 | 03:25 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |