Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +22.8% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 30.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 44.3% vs Bergeron 61.2% (-22.8%)
Offensive zone
Bailey 52.1%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 75.7%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 55.0%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Bailey
Bergeron
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (83)
63.8% (1,102)
-24.0%
Power Play
27.3% (22)
65.3% (288)
-38.0%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
47.6% (210)
+32.4%
On power play, Bergeron has a +38.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Bailey is 30.0% vs right-shot opponents (50).
Bailey shoots left. Bergeron is 63.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,126).
Home / Away
Bailey
Bergeron
Home
33.3% (48)
62.5% (882)
Away
43.5% (62)
61.3% (718)
By Period
Bailey
Bergeron
P1
33.3%
62.5%
P2
47.2%
62.7%
P3
39.4%
60.6%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
38.1%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
39.1%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%