Scouting Report
Josh Bailey holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bailey on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bailey wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 44.6% vs Nash 45.2% (+12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 64.7%
Defensive zone
Bailey 71.1%
Neutral zone
Bailey 50.7%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Bailey
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Bailey
Nash
Last 7: Bailey 4-3 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Bailey
Nash
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
3
0
Bailey
Nash
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bailey
Nash
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (579)
29.6% (27)
+14.6%
Power Play
52.5% (40)
28.6% (7)
+23.9%
On power play, Bailey has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Bailey is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (230).
Bailey shoots left. Nash is 32.1% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Home / Away
Bailey
Nash
Home
45.9% (375)
27.6% (29)
Away
41.8% (361)
50.0% (6)
By Period
Bailey
Nash
P1
47.3%
15.4%
P2
40.4%
37.5%
P3
43.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
44.6%
22.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
43.9%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
31.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2012 | 3 | 19:44 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 3 | 19:37 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 3 | 10:05 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 3 | 05:30 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 1 | 16:37 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 1 | 05:49 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |