Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 30.0% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 44.3% vs Nash 51.7% (-13.0%)
Offensive zone
Bailey 79.5%
Defensive zone
Nash 86.8%
Neutral zone
Nash 55.1%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Bailey
Nash
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (83)
54.1% (292)
-14.3%
Power Play
27.3% (22)
57.1% (7)
-29.8%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
45.9% (98)
+34.1%
On penalty kill, Bailey has a +34.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Bailey is 30.0% vs right-shot opponents (50).
Bailey shoots left. Nash is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Bailey
Nash
Home
33.3% (48)
56.3% (183)
Away
43.5% (62)
48.6% (214)
By Period
Bailey
Nash
P1
33.3%
58.9%
P2
47.2%
51.0%
P3
39.4%
46.5%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
38.1%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
39.1%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%