Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 30.0% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 44.3% vs Gagner 47.5% (-7.6%)
Offensive zone
Bailey 74.8%
Defensive zone
Gagner 83.0%
Neutral zone
Gagner 54.3%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Bailey
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (83)
51.3% (158)
-11.5%
Power Play
27.3% (22)
66.7% (36)
-39.4%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
33.6% (110)
+46.4%
On penalty kill, Bailey has a +46.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Bailey is 30.0% vs right-shot opponents (50).
Bailey shoots left. Gagner is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Bailey
Gagner
Home
33.3% (48)
53.2% (154)
Away
43.5% (62)
40.0% (150)
By Period
Bailey
Gagner
P1
33.3%
35.6%
P2
47.2%
52.7%
P3
39.4%
51.9%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.1%
34.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
39.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%