Scouting Report
Josh Bailey holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.9% vs Gagner 43.8% (+11.3%)
Offensive zone
Bailey 57.2%
Defensive zone
Gagner 59.5%
Neutral zone
Bailey 55.1%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Bailey
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (84)
31.0% (29)
+10.7%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
29.4% (17)
-0.8%
On even strength, Bailey has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Bailey is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Bailey shoots left. Gagner is 27.8% vs left-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Bailey
Gagner
Home
37.9% (58)
36.8% (19)
Away
47.4% (38)
25.9% (27)
By Period
Bailey
Gagner
P1
47.2%
27.8%
P2
41.7%
15.4%
P3
33.3%
46.7%
Final 5 min
36.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
41.7%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
30.4%