Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 51.1% vs Stamkos 52.8% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 66.1%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 70.9%
Neutral zone
Bailey 52.0%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Bailey
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Bailey
Stamkos
Last 8: Bailey 4-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bailey
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Bailey
Stamkos
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (236)
52.9% (735)
-1.6%
Power Play
56.3% (32)
53.4% (73)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
53.8% (145)
-28.8%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Bailey is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Bailey shoots left. Stamkos is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (686).
Home / Away
Bailey
Stamkos
Home
55.0% (140)
54.1% (481)
Away
47.7% (132)
52.1% (472)
By Period
Bailey
Stamkos
P1
57.1%
50.2%
P2
50.0%
53.4%
P3
47.8%
55.8%
OT
50.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
45.5%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
51.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 17:49 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 15:01 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 2 | 08:38 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 1 | 04:17 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 2 | 12:28 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 2 | 02:09 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |