Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 30.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 44.3% vs Stamkos 50.9% (-11.9%)
Offensive zone
Bailey 58.1%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 68.2%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 54.3%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Bailey
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (83)
49.3% (789)
-9.5%
Power Play
27.3% (22)
56.9% (181)
-29.6%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
54.1% (98)
+25.9%
On power play, Stamkos has a +29.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Bailey is 30.0% vs right-shot opponents (50).
Bailey shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Home / Away
Bailey
Stamkos
Home
33.3% (48)
52.0% (512)
Away
43.5% (62)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Bailey
Stamkos
P1
33.3%
42.1%
P2
47.2%
56.4%
P3
39.4%
53.7%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
38.1%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
39.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%