Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.9% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-12.1%)
Offensive zone
Bailey 59.9%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 72.8%
Neutral zone
Bailey 51.4%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Bailey
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (84)
55.3% (628)
-13.6%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
55.1% (216)
-26.5%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
40.2% (87)
+19.8%
On power play, Stamkos has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Bailey is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Bailey shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
Bailey
Stamkos
Home
37.9% (58)
55.5% (499)
Away
47.4% (38)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Bailey
Stamkos
P1
47.2%
50.7%
P2
41.7%
53.8%
P3
33.3%
55.9%
Final 5 min
36.0%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
41.7%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%