Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bailey wins 42.7% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.5% vs Seguin 53.6% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Bailey 57.4%
Defensive zone
Seguin 50.3%
Neutral zone
Bailey 50.9%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Bailey
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Bailey
Seguin
Last 10: Bailey 6-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Bailey
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
4
3
Bailey
Seguin
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Bailey
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,991)
53.7% (8,071)
-7.9%
Power Play
48.1% (295)
55.9% (810)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (281)
49.3% (762)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Bailey is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (995).
Bailey shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Bailey
Seguin
Home
46.6% (1,353)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
44.0% (1,232)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Bailey
Seguin
P1
46.5%
52.8%
P2
44.8%
53.3%
P3
44.4%
54.7%
OT
51.1%
54.7%
Final 5 min
43.6%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 13:03 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 06:23 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 06:09 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 1 | 01:16 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 3 | 14:35 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 1 | 13:59 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 09:52 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 17, 2011 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 17, 2011 | 3 | 01:36 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 17, 2011 | 2 | 05:36 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 17, 2011 | 2 | 01:50 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 17, 2011 | 1 | 07:38 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 17, 2011 | 1 | 04:44 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |