Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.9% vs Seguin 54.2% (-13.0%)
Offensive zone
Bailey 71.8%
Defensive zone
Seguin 76.0%
Neutral zone
Bailey 56.7%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Bailey
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (84)
55.0% (713)
-13.3%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
56.7% (104)
-28.1%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
47.2% (53)
+12.8%
On power play, Seguin has a +28.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Bailey is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Bailey shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Bailey
Seguin
Home
37.9% (58)
56.2% (443)
Away
47.4% (38)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Bailey
Seguin
P1
47.2%
54.2%
P2
41.7%
52.9%
P3
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
36.0%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
41.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%