Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.5% vs 51.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 51.1% vs Trocheck 51.6% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 56.6%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 77.7%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 50.6%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Bailey
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Bailey
Trocheck
Last 5: Bailey 3-2 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
2
0
Bailey
Trocheck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
Bailey
Trocheck
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bailey
1
0
Bailey
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (236)
50.8% (783)
+0.5%
Power Play
56.3% (32)
60.0% (95)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
51.8% (83)
-26.8%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +26.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Bailey is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Bailey shoots left. Trocheck is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Bailey
Trocheck
Home
55.0% (140)
54.9% (506)
Away
47.7% (132)
48.4% (455)
By Period
Bailey
Trocheck
P1
57.1%
52.3%
P2
50.0%
50.8%
P3
47.8%
52.7%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
45.5%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
51.5%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 11:21 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 3 | 15:56 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 3 | 15:54 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 3 | 10:45 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 1 | 11:27 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |