Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +15.5% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 30.0% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 44.3% vs Trocheck 54.3% (-15.5%)
Offensive zone
Bailey 70.4%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 82.6%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 50.1%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Bailey
Trocheck
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (83)
54.3% (955)
-14.5%
Power Play
27.3% (22)
64.6% (96)
-37.3%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
51.0% (194)
+29.0%
On power play, Trocheck has a +37.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Bailey is 30.0% vs right-shot opponents (50).
Bailey shoots left. Trocheck is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (904).
Home / Away
Bailey
Trocheck
Home
33.3% (48)
58.3% (604)
Away
43.5% (62)
51.2% (641)
By Period
Bailey
Trocheck
P1
33.3%
53.9%
P2
47.2%
55.7%
P3
39.4%
54.3%
OT
0.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
38.1%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
39.1%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.6%