Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.9% vs Trocheck 55.6% (-14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 59.4%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 87.8%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 64.2%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Bailey
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Bailey
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
1
0
Bailey
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (84)
55.0% (956)
-13.3%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
59.8% (266)
-31.2%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
56.3% (64)
+3.7%
On power play, Trocheck has a +31.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Bailey is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Bailey shoots left. Trocheck is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Bailey
Trocheck
Home
37.9% (58)
57.7% (673)
Away
47.4% (38)
54.3% (613)
By Period
Bailey
Trocheck
P1
47.2%
55.4%
P2
41.7%
55.6%
P3
33.3%
56.4%
Final 5 min
36.0%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
41.7%
Trocheck
60.0%▼
62.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 12:59 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |