Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Doan wins 26.1% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Doan 45.9% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Doan 85.6%
Defensive zone
Doan 64.3%
Neutral zone
Doan 72.3%
Result
Josh Doan favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Doan
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Doan
Zibanejad
Last 5: Doan 1-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
3
Doan
Zibanejad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Doan
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Doan
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (68)
52.9% (870)
-11.7%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
53.5% (43)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
46.2% (143)
-46.2%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Doan is 26.1% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Doan shoots right. Zibanejad is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Doan
Zibanejad
Home
30.6% (36)
55.1% (501)
Away
49.0% (49)
49.2% (555)
By Period
Doan
Zibanejad
P1
36.8%
57.5%
P2
48.3%
50.7%
P3
38.9%
47.9%
Final 5 min
21.1%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Doan
40.0%▬
38.9%
41.2%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 05:14 | Neutral | Josh Doan |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 15:26 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 12:27 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 19:39 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |