Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Doan wins 27.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Doan 44.1% vs Zibanejad 49.9% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Doan 82.2%
Defensive zone
Doan 67.4%
Neutral zone
Doan 74.0%
Result
Josh Doan favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Doan
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Doan
Zibanejad
Last 5: Doan 1-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
3
Doan
Zibanejad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Doan
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Doan
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (93)
50.9% (11,719)
-12.2%
Power Play
44.4% (18)
52.2% (1,849)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
41.5% (1,790)
-41.5%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +41.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Doan is 27.0% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Doan shoots right. Zibanejad is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,681).
Home / Away
Doan
Zibanejad
Home
30.4% (56)
51.6% (7,566)
Away
47.4% (57)
48.3% (7,793)
By Period
Doan
Zibanejad
P1
37.5%
50.4%
P2
47.5%
49.7%
P3
28.0%
49.8%
Final 5 min
25.0%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Doan
40.0%▬
38.9%
38.9%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 05:14 | Neutral | Josh Doan |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 15:26 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 12:27 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 19:39 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |