Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Norris 53.4% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 81.1%
Defensive zone
Norris 65.7%
Neutral zone
Norris 71.6%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 74.0%
26.0%
74.0%
Coyle
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Coyle
Norris
Last 7: Coyle 5-2 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Norris
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Norris
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Norris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
53.6% (560)
-4.1%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
56.0% (109)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
53.1% (98)
-9.7%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Coyle shoots right. Norris is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Coyle
Norris
Home
47.4% (409)
53.6% (373)
Away
50.0% (360)
54.1% (394)
By Period
Coyle
Norris
P1
50.8%
61.8%
P2
46.0%
51.7%
P3
48.4%
49.8%
OT
64.3%
27.3%
Final 5 min
46.7%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | OT | 03:51 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:29 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 02:03 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 11:07 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 05:51 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 18:02 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 05:11 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |