Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Norris 52.1% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 18-5 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 80.2%
Defensive zone
Norris 59.5%
Neutral zone
Norris 67.3%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 67.6%
32.4%
67.6%
Coyle
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
5
(23 meetings)
18
5
Coyle
Norris
Last 10: Coyle 8-2 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
5
1
Coyle
Norris
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
8
1
Coyle
Norris
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
5
3
Coyle
Norris
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
52.5% (3,057)
-3.1%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
53.7% (404)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
45.4% (240)
-1.8%
On power play, Norris has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,979).
Coyle shoots right. Norris is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,309).
Home / Away
Coyle
Norris
Home
49.8% (4,835)
53.1% (1,856)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
51.2% (1,845)
By Period
Coyle
Norris
P1
49.4%
55.6%
P2
48.3%
51.4%
P3
48.8%
50.1%
OT
49.0%
40.5%
Final 5 min
48.4%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 10:36 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 07:43 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 08:35 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 04:15 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 18, 2025 | OT | 03:51 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:29 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 02:03 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 11:07 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 05:51 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 18:02 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 05:11 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 18:25 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 09:26 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 18:36 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 10:01 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 01:41 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 08:54 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 19:18 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 03:09 | Neutral | Josh Norris |