Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.1% vs 51.4%). Norris wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.9% vs Stenlund 51.2% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 69.5%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 73.4%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 52.6%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Norris
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Norris
Stenlund
Last 5: Norris 1-4 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
1
Norris
Stenlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
2
Norris
Stenlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Norris
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (542)
54.4% (592)
-2.2%
Power Play
54.4% (57)
42.9% (14)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
44.1% (229)
+2.6%
On power play, Norris has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Norris is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (206).
Norris shoots left. Stenlund is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Home / Away
Norris
Stenlund
Home
50.7% (351)
50.7% (402)
Away
54.0% (278)
52.0% (433)
By Period
Norris
Stenlund
P1
55.6%
56.5%
P2
49.3%
52.4%
P3
52.1%
45.2%
OT
42.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 13:36 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 10:18 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |