Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Norris wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 53.4% vs Stenlund 58.3% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 80.0%
Defensive zone
Norris 68.1%
Neutral zone
Norris 68.3%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Norris
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Norris
Stenlund
Last 8: Norris 2-6 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
3
Norris
Stenlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
3
Norris
Stenlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
1
0
Norris
Stenlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (560)
58.6% (797)
-5.0%
Power Play
56.0% (109)
62.5% (24)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (98)
60.5% (233)
-7.4%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Norris is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Norris shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Home / Away
Norris
Stenlund
Home
53.6% (373)
58.6% (548)
Away
54.1% (394)
59.7% (506)
By Period
Norris
Stenlund
P1
61.8%
60.2%
P2
51.7%
59.1%
P3
49.8%
58.3%
OT
27.3%
58.6%
Final 5 min
55.7%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
53.8%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 18:35 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 18:27 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 10:43 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 07:33 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 19:26 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 16:38 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |