Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.0% vs Kastelic 54.5% (-7.2%)
Offensive zone
Norris 77.6%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 61.9%
Neutral zone
Norris 60.8%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Norris
Kastelic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (886)
56.5% (115)
-5.3%
Power Play
59.0% (83)
100.0% (3)
-41.0%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (67)
100.0% (2)
-61.2%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +61.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Norris is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Norris shoots left. Kastelic is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Norris
Kastelic
Home
55.6% (487)
54.8% (73)
Away
47.0% (549)
63.8% (47)
By Period
Norris
Kastelic
P1
54.8%
50.0%
P2
51.3%
62.5%
P3
48.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
51.1%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
58.3%