Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.9% vs Kastelic 53.5% (-2.3%)
Offensive zone
Norris 56.6%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 55.4%
Neutral zone
Norris 52.2%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Norris
Kastelic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (542)
53.4% (337)
-1.2%
Power Play
54.4% (57)
100.0% (4)
-45.6%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
75.0% (8)
-28.3%
On power play, Kastelic has a +45.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Norris is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (206).
Norris shoots left. Kastelic is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Norris
Kastelic
Home
50.7% (351)
56.2% (162)
Away
54.0% (278)
52.9% (187)
By Period
Norris
Kastelic
P1
55.6%
58.2%
P2
49.3%
58.8%
P3
52.1%
45.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.1%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
54.4%