Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Coronato shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 53.4% vs Coronato 45.6% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coronato 58.1%
Defensive zone
Norris 89.6%
Neutral zone
Norris 64.4%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Norris
Coronato
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Norris
Coronato
Last 5: Norris 3-2 Coronato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coronato
0
2
Norris
Coronato
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
0
Norris
Coronato
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
1
0
Norris
Coronato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Coronato
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (560)
41.0% (122)
+12.6%
Power Play
56.0% (109)
48.6% (37)
+7.4%
On even strength, Norris has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coronato shoots right. Norris is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Norris shoots left. Coronato is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Norris
Coronato
Home
53.6% (373)
41.3% (92)
Away
54.1% (394)
44.8% (67)
By Period
Norris
Coronato
P1
61.8%
36.4%
P2
51.7%
40.5%
P3
49.8%
47.7%
OT
27.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
53.8%
Coronato
42.0%▲
39.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 03:22 | Offensive | Matt Coronato |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 17:54 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Matt Coronato |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |