Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Coronato shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs Coronato 42.3% (+12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coronato 54.2%
Defensive zone
Norris 87.3%
Neutral zone
Norris 70.2%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Norris
Coronato
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Norris
Coronato
Last 5: Norris 3-2 Coronato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coronato
0
2
Norris
Coronato
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
0
Norris
Coronato
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
1
0
Norris
Coronato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Coronato
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,057)
37.8% (259)
+14.7%
Power Play
53.7% (404)
48.5% (68)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
0.0% (1)
+45.4%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +45.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coronato shoots right. Norris is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,309).
Norris shoots left. Coronato is 39.1% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Norris
Coronato
Home
53.1% (1,856)
39.8% (171)
Away
51.2% (1,845)
40.1% (157)
By Period
Norris
Coronato
P1
55.6%
42.2%
P2
51.4%
38.0%
P3
50.1%
38.1%
OT
40.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Coronato
42.0%▲
39.5%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 03:22 | Offensive | Matt Coronato |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 17:54 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Matt Coronato |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |