Scouting Report
Mitch Marner holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Marner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.0% vs Marner 50.8% (-4.5%)
Offensive zone
Norris 58.5%
Defensive zone
Norris 60.3%
Neutral zone
Norris 60.5%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Norris
Marner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (886)
57.1% (7)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (67)
54.5% (11)
-15.7%
On penalty kill, Marner has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Norris is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Norris shoots left. Marner is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Norris
Marner
Home
55.6% (487)
44.4% (9)
Away
47.0% (549)
66.7% (9)
By Period
Norris
Marner
P1
54.8%
80.0%
P2
51.3%
44.4%
P3
48.0%
33.3%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.1%
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
55.6%