Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs Thompson 50.3% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 67.4%
Defensive zone
Thompson 65.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 50.6%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Norris
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Norris
Thompson
Last 10: Norris 4-6 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
4
1
Norris
Thompson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
5
Norris
Thompson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
2
1
Norris
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (635)
49.6% (230)
+3.8%
Power Play
50.0% (70)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
26.3% (19)
53.8% (52)
-27.5%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Norris is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Norris shoots left. Thompson is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Norris
Thompson
Home
52.7% (366)
52.2% (134)
Away
52.0% (358)
48.7% (150)
By Period
Norris
Thompson
P1
50.4%
54.5%
P2
53.9%
48.0%
P3
52.2%
48.2%
Final 5 min
56.2%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.3%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 19:04 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 15:44 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 12:30 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 09:38 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 14:55 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 09:57 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 05:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 17:56 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 12:34 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 08:55 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 02:46 | Offensive | Josh Norris |