Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 52.9%). Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.2% vs Thompson 52.9% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 57.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 80.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 53.7%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Norris
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Norris
Thompson
Last 10: Norris 5-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
6
1
Norris
Thompson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
6
Norris
Thompson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
4
1
Norris
Thompson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (2,904)
54.1% (5,812)
-1.5%
Power Play
53.8% (364)
54.8% (135)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
47.9% (1,381)
-2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,264).
Norris shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Home / Away
Norris
Thompson
Home
53.2% (1,778)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
51.3% (1,730)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Norris
Thompson
P1
55.6%
53.2%
P2
51.8%
52.9%
P3
50.0%
52.8%
OT
41.5%
47.9%
Final 5 min
53.3%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.3%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 15:13 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 01:45 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 05:15 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 19:04 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 15:44 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 12:30 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 09:38 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 14:55 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 09:57 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 05:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 17:56 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 12:34 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 08:55 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 02:46 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 14:09 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 2 | 11:52 | Offensive | Josh Norris |