Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.0% vs Thompson 54.3% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 62.8%
Defensive zone
Thompson 79.2%
Neutral zone
Thompson 61.1%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Norris
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Norris
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
1
0
Norris
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Norris
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
1
0
Norris
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (886)
55.5% (236)
-4.3%
Power Play
59.0% (83)
60.0% (5)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (67)
56.5% (46)
-17.7%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Norris is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Norris shoots left. Thompson is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Norris
Thompson
Home
55.6% (487)
53.1% (128)
Away
47.0% (549)
57.9% (159)
By Period
Norris
Thompson
P1
54.8%
59.0%
P2
51.3%
55.4%
P3
48.0%
52.6%
Final 5 min
54.4%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
48.0%▬
48.5%
51.1%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 15:13 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 01:45 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 05:15 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |